Tuesday, November 23, 2010

Starting 11: It Will Be Oregon vs. TCU by Saturday Night

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The oddsmakers have installed Alabama as four-point favorites over Auburn for Friday's Iron Bowl. That's the right call because Alabama is going to win by at least a touchdown, and much of the Cam Newton brouhaha will be dialed down a level in the wake of that Tiger defeat.

Sure, there will still be people who are aware that Newton is going to eventually be declared ineligible so that Auburn's SEC title, it if wins -- as well as the Heisman, if Newton wins -- will eventually be ruled invalid, but the major national implications of Newton's eligibility will dwindle.

And the end result of Auburn's Iron Bowl loss to Alabama will be that your national title game matchup will shift: Oregon will be slotted to play TCU. Will that remain the title game? Who knows? Just for fun, I've decided to play around with the matchups in alternating slots here in the Starting 11 this week. (Primarily because there were so many crap games last week and nothing that interesting happened).

The one lesson to take away from everything is that TCU is the only team guaranteed to go 12-0. That's because TCU is already 11-0 and faces one of the weakest teams in the country, New Mexico, to complete its season. How weak is New Mexico? TCU is a 43 1/2-point road favorite.

Sitting at No. 3 in the latest BCS standings, TCU has the clearest path of any contender to the title game. In fact, it's fair to say that TCU will take one of the spots if either Oregon or Auburn stumbles. So as we play BCS Championship Game dominoes, the one consistent opponent if Oregon vs. Auburn doesn't happen is TCU.

Let's roll.

 

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Source: http://ncaafootball.fanhouse.com/2010/11/22/starting-11-it-will-be-oregon-vs-tcu-by-saturday-night/

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